Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2.898316 3.103904 3.324235 3.579214 3.867807 4.186291 4.567111
2026-01-18 2.623233 2.909150 3.234225 3.636048 4.126467 4.715376 5.492020
2026-01-25 2.660596 3.039004 3.491799 4.085957 4.865333 5.885185 7.382717
2026-02-01 2.418060 2.801751 3.272564 3.909436 4.777339 5.968507 7.832206
2026-02-08 2.214260 2.592082 3.064219 3.717385 4.633560 5.938591 8.088440
2026-02-15 2.100876 2.486250 2.977291 3.673394 4.681591 6.179954 8.804193
2026-02-22 1.989013 2.373826 2.871674 3.591247 4.660873 6.307739 9.349454
2026-03-01 1.874478 2.250836 2.743169 3.465006 4.559062 6.289698 9.623244
2026-03-08 1.761538 2.124256 2.602443 3.310656 4.399095 6.155014 9.644894
2026-03-15 1.709551 2.076450 2.566560 3.305091 4.467847 6.409976 10.496846
2026-03-22 1.658201 2.026737 2.524739 3.286746 4.512803 6.627240 11.326808
2026-03-29 1.618983 1.991566 2.501057 3.293202 4.597413 6.926008 12.431075
2026-04-05 1.576020 1.954424 2.479702 3.313259 4.727414 7.372373 14.194042
2026-04-12 1.544503 1.932393 2.479858 3.368806 4.929769 8.015154 16.905506
2026-04-19 1.602557 2.040076 2.678199 3.763717 5.812903 10.395108 27.921233
2026-04-26 1.521315 1.941142 2.556175 3.609121 5.617235 10.190462 28.526452
2026-05-03 1.442234 1.842539 2.430377 3.440261 5.377018 9.832389 28.178096
2026-05-10 1.398713 1.794798 2.381357 3.401486 5.397229 10.159144 31.850545
2026-05-17 1.350536 1.738264 2.315823 3.328982 5.339287 10.264691 34.518318
2026-05-24 1.296552 1.671282 2.231094 3.217312 5.187986 10.081337 35.186022
2026-05-31 1.239750 1.598528 2.134810 3.080360 4.972372 9.682764 34.047711
2026-06-07 1.214836 1.572943 2.112552 3.075413 5.040923 10.127366 39.982602
2026-06-14 1.188916 1.544918 2.085106 3.059103 5.082708 10.506202 46.574778